1、 Price trend
According to the bulk list data of business society, the average market price of 55% powdered monoammonium on June 1 was 4266 yuan / ton, and the average market price of powdered monoammonium on June 30 was 4666 yuan / ton. The price of monoammonium phosphate increased by 9.37% this month.
According to the bulk list data of business society, the average market price of 64% diammonium phosphate was 4200 yuan / ton on June 1 and 4366 yuan / ton on June 30. The price of diammonium phosphate rose 3.97% this month.
2、 Market analysis
The price of monoammonium phosphate continued to rise at a high level this month. In early June, due to the shortage of raw phosphorus ore, the price rose, and the price of monoammonium phosphate rose again under cost pressure. The manufacturer’s inventory is tight, there is no sales pressure for the time being, and the downstream is cautious in purchasing. The quotation of some enterprises was suspended and the receipt of orders was restricted. Since mid June, the rise of monoammonium phosphate has been suspended. The price of raw sulfur and synthetic ammonia fell, and the cost support weakened. In late June, the raw sulfur continued to decline, and the price of monoammonium phosphate began to loosen and fell slightly. As of June 30, the ex factory quotation of 55 powdered ammonium in Henan is about 4700 yuan / ton, the market quotation of 55 powdered ammonium in Sichuan is about 4550 yuan / ton, and the ex factory quotation of 55 powdered ammonium in Anhui is about 4750 yuan / ton. The actual transaction is negotiable.
The price of diammonium phosphate continued to rise at a high level this month. In the first half of June, the domestic market spot of diammonium chloride was relatively small, and the downstream purchase was on demand, and there was still resistance to high prices. Most manufacturers suspended their quotation and restricted the receipt of orders. They mainly issued early orders, and the quotation of dealers increased. In the second half of June, the supply of raw phosphate rock was in short supply, the price continued to run at a high level, and diammonium phosphate continued to rise. Downstream procurement is cautious, domestic demand is weakened, the focus is shifted to the export market, and dealers are cautious to wait and see. As of June 30, the market quotation of 64% diammonium in Guizhou was about 4700 yuan / ton, and the market quotation of 64% diammonium in Yunnan was about 4700 yuan / ton. The actual transaction was negotiated.
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The price of raw phosphate rock rose this month. The market price of 30% phosphorus ore in Guizhou is around 1066 yuan / ton, and the market price of 28% phosphorus ore is around 920-970 yuan / ton. At present, a mining enterprise in Guizhou has resumed construction, with only a small amount of goods for external sales. Some mining enterprises in Guangxi mainly receive orders in advance, and the orders are scheduled to the middle of July. Recently, phosphorus ore of Hebei mining enterprises is mainly supplied to shareholders and customers, and there is no external supply source for the time being.
The price of raw sulfur fell this month. The domestic sulfur quotation is on the high side, and there is resistance in the downstream. Some operators buy at a low price when entering the market, and the pressure of high price sulfur increases. In addition, the downstream sulfuric acid market is weak, and the demand is limited. The negative purchasing sentiment in the market led to an increase in the inventory of sulfur refineries. In order to maintain the pace of shipment, domestic refineries lowered their quotations, and the overall market atmosphere was weak.
3、 Aftermarket forecast
According to the ammonium phosphate analyst of business agency, the supply of ammonium phosphate raw material phosphate rock is tight recently, the price of raw sulfur is reduced, and the cost pressure is weakened. The market is in the off-season of phosphate fertilizer demand, with weak demand side and weak trading on the floor. It is expected that the high price of ammonium phosphate will run downward in the short term.
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