441 # silicon price trend
This week, the price of silicon metal is still weak, and the silicon market is in an atmosphere of strong supply and weak demand, led by weak demand. As of December 18, the average price of 441 # metal silicon in the domestic market was 19630 yuan/ton according to the monitoring of the business community.
On the 16th, the price of 441 # silicon in various regions was as follows:
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The price range of # 441 silicon metal in Huangpu Port area is 19500-19700 yuan/ton, with an average price of 19600 yuan/ton; The price range of # 441 silicon metal in Tianjin Port is 19500-1960 yuan/ton, with an average price of 19550 yuan/ton; The price range of # 441 silicon metal in Kunming is 19300-19500 yuan/ton, 19400 yuan/ton on average; The price range of # 441 silicon metal in Sichuan is 19200-19400 yuan/ton, with an average of 19300 yuan/ton; The price range of # 441 silicon metal in Shanghai is 20200-20400 yuan/ton, and the average price is 20300 yuan/ton.
Factors Affecting the Declining Price of Silicon Metal
Supply:
This week, the number of metal silicon furnaces has risen slightly. It is understood that the total number of metal silicon furnaces is 702. As of December 16, the metal silicon furnace opening rate is about 48.58%, 105 in Xinjiang, 47 in Sichuan and 65 in Yunnan. The production situation in Xinjiang has improved, and it is expected that the number of furnaces will continue to increase in the future. The number of furnace shutdowns in Sichuan and Yunnan continued to increase. Under the pressure of cost, the number of furnace shutdowns by manufacturers in southwest China still had room for decline.
Demand:
The mainstream quotation of polysilicon is 281666.66 yuan/ton. The price of polysilicon keeps falling, the price of silicon chips drops synchronously, and the production capacity keeps increasing. It is expected that the demand for metal silicon will remain prosperous in the short term; The price of aluminum alloy ADC12 fell by 100 yuan/ton, and the mainstream quotation was 19000 yuan/ton. The operating rate of aluminum plants was still not high. Under the mood of buying up rather than buying down, they were not willing to stock up on metal silicon; The silicone DMC market generally runs up in a narrow range. The quotation reference is 17040 yuan/ton. The downstream demand of silicone DMC has improved to some extent, but the overall trend is still to be cautious and low mining.
Future market forecast
Weak market demand continues to exert pressure on the price of metal silicon. However, silicon plants are facing high costs, and the upstream and downstream of silicon continue to play games. It is expected that metal silicon will still operate in a weak way in the short term. As prices continue to dip and costs continue to rise, the price support sentiment of silicon plants will become stronger and the market is expected to stabilize.
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