Price trend
Recently, the domestic PA6 market has experienced fluctuations and declines, with most spot prices slightly decreasing overall. According to data monitoring from Business Society, as of January 15th, the domestic benchmark price of PA6 mixture was 14675 yuan/ton, with a 0% increase or decrease compared to the average price level at the beginning of the month.
Cause analysis
In terms of raw materials:
From the above chart, it can be seen that the market price of caprolactam has recently declined. The price of raw material pure benzene has slightly increased, and the cost side has remained stable with little movement. The caprolactam parking device is gradually resuming work and returning, and the market supply is gradually increasing. Downstream market conditions have declined, resulting in a decrease in purchase orders. The overall support for the cost side of PA6 has weakened.
In terms of supply:
Last week, there was a narrow adjustment in the load of PA6 production enterprises, with an average operating rate of nearly 79% in the range. The market supply has remained almost unchanged compared to the previous period, and there is ample supply of goods on the market. The inventory level is still not high, the pressure on suppliers is not significant, and there is still support for PA6 spot goods.
In terms of demand: Downstream, the weaving and spinning industries have seen a slight decline in load, but have generally remained stable, with average load positions of around 65% and 81%, respectively. The willingness of terminal enterprises to stock up is average, and their overall acceptance of high priced goods is not good. The operation leans towards buying on dips after market price drops, with trading concentrated near maintaining production demand, and overall support for the demand side of PA6 slices is average.
Future Market Forecast
Last week, the PA6 market fluctuated and fell narrowly. The price of caprolactam has slightly fallen, and the cost support for PA6 has weakened. The load of domestic polymerization plants remains basically unchanged, and the inventory position remains low. The current demand side operation is cautious, and market trading tends to be low-end. It is expected that the PA6 market will be weakly consolidated in the short term due to weak demand.
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